Pastoreo vs Deportivo Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+205%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
16º
15º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
69.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pastoreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
2 - 0
PFC
38%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 1
JUN
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 22 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 2
FER
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
PFC
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 1
MAR
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 2
CCP
31%
24%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 0
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
CDR
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 1
ENC
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDR
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |