La Cantera de Pastaza vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
84.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Cantera de Pastaza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PSC
1 - 4
POL
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
PSC
7%
13%
80%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
PSC
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PSC
0 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PSC
2 - 1
CUM
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
OCT
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 1
ESA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |