Copa Simón Bolívar Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-5
Pasión Celeste vs Torre Fuerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
57.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+969%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pasión Celeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FAN
4 - 2
PAS
85%
10%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
TFU
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
3 - 2
FAN
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | +5 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 0
PAS
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
ABB
7%
13%
81%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Torre Fuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
TFU
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TFU
3 - 2
FAN
21%
20%
58%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 0
PAS
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 0
TFU
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TFU
1 - 3
CNS
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |