Pascoe Vale SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
AVH
3 - 1
PAS
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
PAS
0 - 1
POR
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
DAC
0 - 1
PAS
26%
23%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
PAS
2 - 4
BEN
26%
23%
52%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
HEU
1 - 1
PAS
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
KIN
1 - 0
SOU
57%
19%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AVH
4 - 0
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
SOU
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 0
DAC
74%
14%
11%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |