Pascoe Vale SC vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 1
HEU
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 3
GRE
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 1
PAS
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 3
MEL
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
PAS
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NOR
5 - 0
MEL
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
NOR
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 0
MEL
41%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 3
OAK
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |