Pasaia KE vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
15º
8º
75
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pasaia KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEU
5 - 1
PAS
50%
25%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 2
CDT
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 3
PAS
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 1
CDU
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDP
0 - 2
PAS
21%
26%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
URD
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |