Thyella Katsika vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
86.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
13%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.8%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thyella Katsika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAS
3 - 0
ASS
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAS
38%
24%
39%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAS
4 - 0
VAT
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GAS
0 - 2
PAS
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 0
EOR
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
KIF
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
KAM
1 - 2
LAR
12%
18%
70%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 4
PTF
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
LAR
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
MKN
73%
19%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |