Cup Last 16
Global 5-2
PAS Giannina vs Fostiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAS Giannina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
GIA
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
PAN
0 - 2
GIA
14%
22%
63%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
GIA
1 - 3
PAO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
KER
0 - 2
GIA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
AEK
2 - 1
GIA
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fostiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FOS
1 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
PAN
2 - 1
FOS
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ETH
0 - 3
FOS
15%
26%
60%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOS
2 - 0
AST
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EPI
0 - 2
FOS
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |