Scottish Premiership Promotion Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Partick Thistle vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
AIR
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 2
PAR
43%
23%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
AYR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
AIR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
RAI
5 - 0
ARB
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 0
RAI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 1
RAI
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 0
PAR
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 3
AIR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |