Partick Thistle vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
8º
3º
44
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
AIR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 0
PAR
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
ICT
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
PAR
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
AYR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
5 - 0
ARB
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 1
GRE
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 1
AYR
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 1
AIR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |