Partick Thistle vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
AIR
51%
23%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
KIL
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 2
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
RAI
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
AYR
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 2
STM
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 2
GRE
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 0
ARB
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
21%
27%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |