Partick Thistle vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
8º
3º
23
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AYR
0 - 4
PAR
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 3
QOS
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 4
PAR
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
QUE
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
4 - 0
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
4 - 0
AIR
27%
26%
46%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
4 - 2
ICT
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 1
AYR
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 3
ARB
63%
22%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 1
QUE
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |