Partick Thistle vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
7º
4º
34
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
AYR
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
QUE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COV
0 - 5
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ICT
1 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 1
COV
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
ICT
2 - 0
ARB
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 0
DUN
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 0
AYR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |