Pars Jonubi vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pars Jonubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 2
FAJ
27%
29%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
DBF
3 - 1
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
SMK
37%
30%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
KHO
2 - 0
PAR
26%
28%
45%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
NAF
46%
28%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 2
FAJ
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
FAJ
3 - 0
MSV
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
FAJ
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
EMO
0 - 3
FAJ
26%
30%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
FAJ
3 - 1
MSB
49%
30%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |