Parramatta Power vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
SYD
3 - 1
PAP
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
PAP
1 - 1
ADE
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAP
2 - 2
SFC
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
PER
6 - 1
PAP
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAP
3 - 2
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NZK
4 - 5
SOU
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PAP
4 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 0
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |