Parramatta Power vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
BRI
4 - 1
PAP
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
PAP
1 - 0
SYD
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
PAP
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
PAP
2 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 0
PAP
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 1
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MEL
2 - 3
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 2
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 1
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
PER
0 - 0
SOU
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |