Parramatta Power vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 3
PAP
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
PER
4 - 1
PAP
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
PAP
5 - 1
SYD
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2004 |
PAP
4 - 0
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 2
PAP
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SYD
5 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 2
NZK
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 1
SFC
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
1 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |