A-League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Parramatta Power vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
ADE
0 - 2
PAP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
PAP
3 - 2
SYD
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SFC
0 - 1
PAP
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
PAP
3 - 2
BRI
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
PAP
2 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
2 - 4
PER
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |