Parramatta Power vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 2
PAP
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PAP
5 - 1
SFC
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PAP
4 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
3 - 0
PAP
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
PAP
7 - 0
NZK
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
PER
5 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
ADE
0 - 2
PER
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
PER
0 - 1
SYD
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 6
PER
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |