Parramatta Power vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 0
PAP
44%
25%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SYD
0 - 1
PAP
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
2 - 1
PAP
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PAP
7 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 4
PAP
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 0
MAR
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 2
NZK
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 3
ADE
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 0
NZK
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |