Parramatta Power vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
PER
2 - 1
PAP
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 0
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 0
PAP
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 2
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
2 - 2
PAP
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
NZK
2 - 3
SFC
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 1
NZK
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
1 - 2
NZK
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 2
NZK
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
NZK
2 - 7
PER
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |