Parramatta Power vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAP
6 - 0
PER
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
PAP
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SYD
0 - 2
PAP
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 1
PAP
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAP
4 - 1
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SYD
0 - 2
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 1
SFC
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 2
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
SOU
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PER
3 - 0
MEL
57%
21%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |