Parramatta Power vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAP
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
CSC
0 - 3
PAP
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
PAP
2 - 3
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2001 |
ADE
3 - 0
PAP
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2000 |
PAP
3 - 0
SFC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 5
MEL
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
MEL
1 - 4
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
CSC
0 - 3
MEL
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |