Parramatta Power vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BRI
3 - 1
PAP
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
PAP
2 - 3
CCO
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ADE
2 - 1
PAP
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
PAP
2 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
PAP
1 - 1
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 0
NCB
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 0
GIF
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 1
SYD
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
CSC
1 - 1
GIF
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 1
PER
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |