Parramatta Eagles vs Wollongong Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
4 - 1
PAE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
PAE
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PAE
0 - 1
WOL
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
HAS
1 - 2
PAE
88%
9%
2%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
PAE
0 - 3
BON
17%
18%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
WOL
14%
19%
68%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 2
BON
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 3
SYD
5%
11%
84%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PAE
0 - 1
WOL
17%
20%
63%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 2
SYD
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |