Parramatta Eagles vs Rockdale City Suns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PAE
1 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
PAE
0 - 1
BON
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 3
PAE
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PAE
4 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BLA
3 - 0
PAE
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rockdale City Suns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 2
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 0
ROC
33%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SYD
3 - 1
ROC
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 3
API
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |