Parramatta Eagles vs Blacktown Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
PAE
0 - 1
ROC
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
PAE
3 - 5
BON
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
WOL
3 - 4
PAE
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PAE
2 - 4
HAS
10%
20%
70%
|
27 | 63 | 36 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 3
PAE
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Blacktown Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
SYD
2 - 1
BLA
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 0
SUT
64%
17%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BLA
6 - 0
BLA
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
21%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
API
5 - 3
BLA
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |