Paron vs Saint-Apollinaire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
DIJ
3 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SEL
0 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCG
14%
20%
66%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRC
3 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
FCV
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
APO
2 - 0
FCG
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BRC
3 - 0
APO
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
APO
2 - 2
FCV
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JUR
6 - 0
APO
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
APO
2 - 1
FCG
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |