Vaprus Pärnu vs Warrior Valga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAR
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 2
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
TQF
1 - 5
PAR
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
LOT
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 9
PAR
13%
17%
70%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Warrior Valga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
FLO
2 - 0
WAR
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
WAR
0 - 2
TIN
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
KIV
2 - 5
WAR
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +3 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
WAR
1 - 5
TAM
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -3 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TAL
3 - 1
WAR
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |