Vaprus Pärnu vs Võru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 4
TAM
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
KIV
6 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TIN
4 - 0
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
TAR
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RAK
5 - 4
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Võru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
MAA
0 - 1
VOR
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
VOR
1 - 1
FPT
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
JSK
1 - 3
VOR
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
SIK
8 - 0
VOR
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VOR
5 - 0
SKM
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |