Vaprus Pärnu vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 6
TIN
15%
23%
62%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 2
PAR
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 3
SIK
16%
20%
65%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
4%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAM
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
KAL
19%
24%
58%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
3 - 1
TRA
81%
14%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 1
TUL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 1
TRA
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 2
TIN
26%
27%
48%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |