Vaprus Pärnu vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 3
TAL
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FLO
3 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
PAI
4 - 2
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAR
86%
10%
3%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
TJK
2 - 3
TAL
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 0
TJK
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
TJK
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
FLO
6 - 0
TJK
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 2
KAL
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |