Vaprus Pärnu vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
TDU
73%
15%
11%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
KAL
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 2
PAR
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 4
SKA
43%
22%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 4
PAR
52%
22%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 2
TJK
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
TJK
3 - 0
JKJ
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TJK
0 - 1
EMM
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 4
PAR
52%
22%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 2
TJK
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |