Vaprus Pärnu vs Tallinna FC Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOM
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 2
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna FC Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
TAO
0 - 8
HJP
6%
12%
82%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
TAO
3 - 0
RUC
57%
20%
24%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
TAM
6 - 1
TAO
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
TAO
0 - 4
TUL
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
TAO
1 - 5
TQF
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |