Vaprus Pärnu vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
KAL
2 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
4%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 8
LEV
8%
16%
77%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 3
PAI
10%
18%
72%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 0
PAR
93%
5%
2%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
2 - 3
PAR
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 3
KUR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FLO
7 - 1
TAL
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
LEV
5 - 1
TAL
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TUL
2 - 0
TAL
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TAM
3 - 0
TAL
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |