Vaprus Pärnu vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 2
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 3
TKA
84%
10%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
RAK
76%
14%
10%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
PAR
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 2
JKJ
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
JKJ
0 - 1
TKA
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
TKA
1 - 2
FCE
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
4 - 0
TKA
87%
9%
3%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TKA
0 - 2
TAM
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
RAK
1 - 2
TKA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |