Vaprus Pärnu vs FCI Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 1
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
LOT
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 1
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
WAR
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FCI Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TIN
1 - 2
LEV
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 3
TIN
42%
22%
36%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TIN
1 - 1
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
WAR
0 - 4
TIN
33%
23%
45%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TIN
0 - 0
TAL
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |