Vaprus Pärnu vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
64.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
4%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAM
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 6
KAL
12%
21%
66%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 3
TAM
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -3 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 7
TRA
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
KAL
2 - 1
SIK
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LEV
5 - 0
SIK
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TUL
1 - 0
SIK
43%
24%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TFS
0 - 4
SIK
21%
19%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
TIN
0 - 0
SIK
63%
19%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |