Vaprus Pärnu vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
TAM
46%
22%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TIN
3 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
TJK
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Rakvere JK Tarvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RAK
0 - 0
MCT
82%
12%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 1
RAK
10%
16%
74%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAK
3 - 3
TIN
77%
14%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
RAK
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 5
RAK
15%
19%
67%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |