Vaprus Pärnu vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
75.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAI
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
4 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
KUR
18%
20%
63%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 5
LEV
4%
13%
84%
|
31 | 82 | 51 | -3 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 3
KAL
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
KAL
5 - 2
TRA
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
KUR
0 - 3
KAL
13%
20%
68%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
KAL
0 - 1
LEV
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TUL
0 - 6
KAL
11%
20%
69%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |