Vaprus Pärnu vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 3
TAM
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 7
TRA
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RAK
1 - 1
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 6
FLO
7%
15%
78%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
KAL
3 - 0
TRA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
KAL
2 - 3
PAI
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
KAL
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
KAL
2 - 2
FCL
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
KAL
3 - 0
PAI
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |