Vaprus Pärnu vs Navi Vutiselts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
KIV
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 2
RAK
31%
23%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TAR
3 - 1
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
TIN
20%
21%
60%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAR
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Navi Vutiselts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 1
NAV
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
LIH
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
9 - 0
NAV
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 2
NAV
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 1
RAP
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |