Vaprus Pärnu vs Maag Tartu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FLO
4 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 4
TRA
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
TVM
3 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MEJ
0 - 7
PAR
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
PAR
5 - 1
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Maag Tartu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TAR
1 - 2
LEV
16%
22%
63%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TAR
6 - 0
WAR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TAR
0 - 6
FLO
18%
20%
62%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -3 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
TUL
5 - 0
TAR
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
TAR
0 - 1
TAM
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |