Vaprus Pärnu vs Lootus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
FCP
42%
23%
35%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 2
PAR
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 2
LUU
72%
15%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
RAK
3 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lootus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
TIN
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
LOT
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
FLO
4 - 1
LOT
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 2
KIV
22%
20%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
RAK
1 - 0
LOT
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |