Vaprus Pärnu vs Lootus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
TRA
2 - 0
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
PAR
0 - 4
FLO
11%
21%
68%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 2
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEV
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 6
TUL
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lootus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
LOT
1 - 2
LEV
9%
18%
72%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
LOT
4 - 2
TRA
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2002 |
FLO
4 - 0
LOT
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
TUL
1 - 1
LOT
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
LOT
0 - 3
TVM
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |