Vaprus Pärnu vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
7º
6º
43
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 4
PAR
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 3
KAL
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 3
LEV
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
6 - 1
JKJ
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KUR
9 - 1
KOS
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
TAM
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 1
KUR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 1
LEV
17%
24%
58%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
KUR
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |