Vaprus Pärnu vs Kiviõli Irbis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
FLO
0 - 3
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
TUL
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
TJK
5 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
LOT
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kiviõli Irbis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
KIV
1 - 0
FLO
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
TUL
0 - 1
KIV
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
KIV
3 - 0
TJK
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
LOT
2 - 4
KIV
49%
23%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
KIV
5 - 0
RAK
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |