Vaprus Pärnu vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 4
PAR
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAI
11%
21%
68%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 3
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAB
7 - 4
JKJ
92%
6%
2%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
FLO
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FCE
3 - 0
JKJ
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
JKJ
0 - 6
NOM
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 0
TJK
17%
18%
65%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |