Vaprus Pärnu vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 6
FLO
7%
13%
80%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SKA
4 - 3
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
EMM
3 - 2
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 1
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 0
TDU
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOM
2 - 1
JKJ
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 1
TJK
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 1
FLO
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
JKJ
0 - 3
SKA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |