Vaprus Pärnu vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
9º
58
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 39% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
KAL
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
KUR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
17%
24%
58%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
FLO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 3
TRA
79%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 0
FLO
15%
23%
63%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 1
FLO
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
TAL
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |